Uzbekistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
 
Kyrgyzstan national football team

Uzbekistan
vs.
Kyrgyzstan

Alizhonov (40', 40')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Jordan
Monday, January 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iran vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: UAE 3-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. Qatar
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 8.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.64%) and 3-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
UzbekistanDrawKyrgyzstan
74.42% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)17.14% (0.117 0.12)8.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 39.3% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.348 -0.35)47.5% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.324 -0.32)69.71% (0.319 0.32)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.84% (-0.142 -0.14)11.16% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.36% (-0.307 -0.31)35.64% (0.302 0.3)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.24% (-0.113 -0.11)55.76% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.67% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)88.33% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 74.41%
    Kyrgyzstan 8.44%
    Draw 17.14%
UzbekistanDrawKyrgyzstan
2-0 @ 14.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 74.41%
1-1 @ 7.97% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.14%
0-1 @ 3.64% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 8.44%

How you voted: Uzbekistan vs Kyrgyzstan

Uzbekistan
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Kyrgyzstan
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 3pm
Third Round
Kyrgyzstan
2-3
Uzbekistan
Kojo (15'), Abdurakhmanov (35')
Shomurodov (17'), Aliqulov (45+1'), Urunov (72')
Ashurmatov (34'), Shomurodov (90+4')
Dec 25, 2023 3.30pm
Mar 25, 2022 2pm
International Friendly
Uzbekistan
3-1
Kyrgyzstan
Shomurodov (64'), Sergeev (84', 90')
Murzaev (6')
Nov 9, 2019 12pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
3-1
Kyrgyzstan
Sergeev (11'), Khamdanov (53'), Iskanderov (80')
Musabekov (30')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!