Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Racing
1 - 0
Progreso

Espinosa (67')
Ferreira (57'), Varela (59'), Valentin Caceres (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lemmo (29'), Alles (73'), Marta (77')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Racing
Friday, September 13 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Cerro
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawProgreso
33.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)37.91% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.22% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.88% (0.046999999999997 0.05)60.12% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.67% (0.035 0.04)80.33% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (0.012 0.01)33.39% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (0.012 0.01)70.01% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (0.042999999999992 0.04)30.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.14% (0.052 0.05)66.86% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 33.61%
    Progreso 37.9%
    Draw 28.47%
Racing de MontevideoDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.61%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.9%

Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Progreso
3-2
Racing
Lemmo (8'), Joaquin Martin Colman (45'), Sequeira (78')
Andrada (26'), Cardozo (54'), Poiso (89')
Nandin (5', 84')
Magallanes (15'), Monzon (76'), Labraga (89')
Mar 10, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Progreso
4-3
Racing
Lopez (42', 74'), Lemmo (61', 88')
Poiso (72')
Pereira (4'), Alaniz (52' pen.), Sosa (90+3')
Pereira (30')
Oct 9, 2019 8pm
Progreso
2-1
Racing
Rosso (22'), Sosa (31')
Asconeguy (28'), Andrada (68'), Sosa (75'), Perez (81'), Rosso (83'), Riquero (90')
Sosa (54')
Zazpe (3'), Barrios (45'), Mirabaje (83'), Brasesco (89')
Mar 17, 2019 7.30pm
Racing
3-0
Progreso
Perujo (48'), Barrios (77'), Estol (82')
Estol (93')

Moreira (49'), Viega (91')
Sep 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Racing
2-0
Progreso
Lacoste (16'), Mendez (89')
Muller (46'), Trindade (50'), Ortiz (78'), Rodriguez (82')

Montes (61'), Gottesman (80'), Lemmo (86')
Gottesman (87')