Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 7, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
3 - 2
Racing

Lemmo (8'), Joaquin Martin Colman (45'), Sequeira (78')
Andrada (26'), Cardozo (54'), Poiso (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nandin (5', 84')
Magallanes (15'), Monzon (76'), Labraga (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, June 16 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Defensor
Saturday, June 22 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawRacing de Montevideo
39.87% (-0.447 -0.45)26.01% (0.176 0.18)34.11% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (-0.71 -0.71)50.48% (0.708 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (-0.631 -0.63)72.4% (0.62899999999999 0.63)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.55200000000001 -0.55)24.92% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (-0.772 -0.77)59.55% (0.772 0.77)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.178 -0.18)28.21% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.226 -0.23)63.91% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 39.87%
    Racing de Montevideo 34.12%
    Draw 26.01%
ProgresoDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Progreso vs Racing

Progreso
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Racing de Montevideo
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Progreso
4-3
Racing
Lopez (42', 74'), Lemmo (61', 88')
Poiso (72')
Pereira (4'), Alaniz (52' pen.), Sosa (90+3')
Pereira (30')
Oct 9, 2019 8pm
Progreso
2-1
Racing
Rosso (22'), Sosa (31')
Asconeguy (28'), Andrada (68'), Sosa (75'), Perez (81'), Rosso (83'), Riquero (90')
Sosa (54')
Zazpe (3'), Barrios (45'), Mirabaje (83'), Brasesco (89')
Mar 17, 2019 7.30pm
Racing
3-0
Progreso
Perujo (48'), Barrios (77'), Estol (82')
Estol (93')

Moreira (49'), Viega (91')
Sep 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Racing
2-0
Progreso
Lacoste (16'), Mendez (89')
Muller (46'), Trindade (50'), Ortiz (78'), Rodriguez (82')

Montes (61'), Gottesman (80'), Lemmo (86')
Gottesman (87')
Mar 25, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 8
Progreso
3-0
Racing
Lemmo (34'), Silva (38'), Colman (66')
Gottesman (45')

Araujo (23'), Estol (73')
Estol (75')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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