Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
