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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)
Karagumruk
0 - 3
Gaziantep

Lasagna (29'), Ceccherini (56'), Feghouli (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dragus (27'), Gradel (49'), Nkoulou (87')
Markovic (36')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-2 Adana Demirspor
Tuesday, December 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Gaziantep

It is a close call between both sides, but the recent resurgence on home soil should give Karagumruk a slight advantage in this one. Gaziantep have struggled in recent times and have not been great on the road this season, so we are predicting a close win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGaziantep
59.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.29% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 18.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 50.64% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (0.072000000000003 0.07)47.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (0.067 0.07)69.7% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.031999999999996 0.03)15.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (0.059000000000005 0.06)44.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (0.037999999999997 0.04)40.04% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)76.69% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 59.63%
    Gaziantep 18.08%
    Draw 22.29%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 59.63%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.08%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 5pm
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 14
Karagumruk
3-3
Gaziantep
Baniya (32', 52'), Kouassi (69')
Ersoy (13'), Figueiredo (20'), Merkel (65')
Jan 8, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 20
Gaziantep
3-1
Karagumruk
Soyalp (6'), Demir (18'), Figueiredo (73')
Merkel (50')
Mor (50')
Torun (10'), Erkin (39'), Bekaroglu (86')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Karagumruk
3-2
Gaziantep
Djilobodji (10' og.), Pesic (19'), Musa (90')
Pesic (50'), Biglia (81')
Sagal (17' pen.), Djilobodji (90+4')
Sagal (37'), Mendyl (59')
Sagal (45+2')
Feb 3, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Karagumruk
2-0
Gaziantep
Ndao (58'), Borini (64')
Biglia (41'), Bertolacci (45+1')

Mirallas (45'), Djilobodji (89')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Fenerbahce20172157164153
2GalatasarayGalatasaray19153136102648
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor20114535221337
4BesiktasBesiktas2011273326735
5Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor209562527-232
6Adana Demirspor207853325829
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor207852520529
8KayserisporKayserispor198562627-129
9Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul207582524126
10KasimpasaKasimpasa207583340-726
11SivassporSivasspor206772431-725
12AnkaragucuAnkaragucu205962625124
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor205782129-822
14Hatayspor204972627-121
15Samsunspor2063112331-821
16GaziantepGaziantep2063112230-821
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk2055102223-120
18KonyasporKonyaspor204791932-1319
19Pendikspor2037102143-2216
20Istanbulspor2024141438-247

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