Saint Vincent and the Grenadines national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2024 at 2am UK
Arnos Vale Ground
El Salvador national football team

St Vincent & Gr.
2 - 3
El Salvador

Brandon John (43', 43'), Adams (63', 63')
Marshall (68'), Marshall (68'), Crosby (81'), Crosby (81')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Vasquez (20', 20'), Santos Ortiz Asencio (70', 70'), F (87', 87')
Clavel (39'), Clavel (39'), Enrique Sibrian Molina (55'), Enrique Sibrian Molina (55'), Cruz (62'), Cruz (62'), Alexi Benitez (65'), Alexi Benitez (65'), Larin (81'), Larin (81')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Vincent & the Grenadines and El Salvador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 2-0 Montserrat
Sunday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

El Salvador

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 2-1 Bonaire
Monday, September 9 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.

Result
Saint Vincent & the GrenadinesDrawEl Salvador
29.4% (0.381 0.38)24.16% (0.094000000000001 0.09)46.44% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Both teams to score 58.15% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95% (-0.204 -0.2)44.05% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57% (-0.198 -0.2)66.43% (0.2 0.2)
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.158 0.16)28.1% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (0.199 0.2)63.77% (-0.199 -0.2)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)19.12% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)50.75% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 29.4%
    El Salvador 46.44%
    Draw 24.16%
Saint Vincent & the GrenadinesDrawEl Salvador
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.4%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 46.44%

Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 8pm
Second Round
St Vincent & Gr.
1-3
El Salvador
Anderson (43')
Joseph (79')
Henriquez (10'), Tejada (60'), Bonilla (83')
Alberto Climaco Calderon (30')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
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15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
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> Premier League Full Table


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