UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 2nd Leg

Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Slovenia
1 - 0
Slovakia

(Slovenia win 1-0 on aggregate)

Gnezda Cerin (95')
Gnezda Cerin (63'), Drkusic (88'), Janza (100'), Petrovic (101'), Kramer (118')

FT
(aet)

Duda (67'), (90'), Suslov (100'), Lobotka (112')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Slovakia
33.27% ( -0.07)	26% ( 0.02)	40.72% ( 0.05)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Slovenia	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.27%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.73%