CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 16, 2023 at 11pm UK
Wildey Turf

Sint Maarten
0 - 2
Guadeloupe

FT(HT: 0-0)
Plumain (65', 65'), Phaeton (90+5', 90+5')
Baron (6'), Baron (6'), Arenate (38'), Arenate (38')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Sint Maarten and Guadeloupe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint Maarten

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-1 Sint Maarten
Monday, October 16 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-0 St Lucia
Sunday, October 15 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 72.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 11.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 2-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Guadeloupe in this match.

Result
Sint MaartenDrawGuadeloupe
11.84% (0.23 0.23)15.74% (0.823 0.82)72.42% (-1.05 -1.05)
Both teams to score 58.21% (-2.828 -2.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70% (-3.681 -3.68)30% (3.684 3.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.81% (-4.57 -4.57)51.19% (4.574 4.57)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-2.319 -2.32)37.27% (2.324 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-2.366 -2.37)74.05% (2.369 2.37)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.78% (-1.036 -1.04)7.22% (1.0401 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.81% (-2.812 -2.81)26.19% (2.817 2.82)
Score Analysis
    Sint Maarten 11.85%
    Guadeloupe 72.42%
    Draw 15.74%
Sint MaartenDrawGuadeloupe
2-1 @ 3.45% (0.123 0.12)
1-0 @ 2.66% (0.386 0.39)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 1.31% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 11.85%
1-1 @ 6.98% (0.661 0.66)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.69% (0.532 0.53)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.74%
0-2 @ 9.29% (0.927 0.93)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.376 0.38)
0-3 @ 8.14% (0.377 0.38)
1-3 @ 8.04% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-1 @ 7.07% (1.062 1.06)
0-4 @ 5.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-3 @ 3.97% (-0.325 -0.33)
0-5 @ 2.81% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-5 @ 2.78% (-0.388 -0.39)
2-4 @ 2.61% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-5 @ 1.37% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-6 @ 1.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-6 @ 1.22% (-0.253 -0.25)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 72.42%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2023 8.30pm
League B
Guadeloupe
4-0
Sint Maarten
Phaeton (23' pen.), Plumain (25' pen., 58'), Archimede (40')
Plumain (43'), Phaeton (78'), Saint-Maximin (85')

Kerssies (11'), Richardson (25')
rhs 2.0


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