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World Cup

Sierra Leone national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Sierra Leone
3 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

Bundu (19'), Kamara (61'), Turay (90+6')
Jalloh (38'), Jalloh (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tamble (68')
Encada (78')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Sierra Leone and Guinea-Bissau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Zambia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Mozambique
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Sierra LeoneDrawGuinea-Bissau
35.48% (1.846 1.85)27.75% (0.382 0.38)36.77% (-2.225 -2.23)
Both teams to score 48.55% (-0.939 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68% (-1.273 -1.27)57.32% (1.277 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85% (-1.024 -1.02)78.15% (1.027 1.03)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (0.556 0.56)30.73% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (0.652 0.65)66.98% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (-1.931 -1.93)29.92% (1.935 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.98% (-2.396 -2.4)66.02% (2.399 2.4)
Score Analysis
    Sierra Leone 35.47%
    Guinea-Bissau 36.77%
    Draw 27.75%
Sierra LeoneDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.67 0.67)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.489 0.49)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.121 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.228 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.44 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 11.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.406 -0.41)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.325 -0.33)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.77%

How you voted: Sierra Leone vs Guinea-Bissau

Sierra Leone
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Guinea-Bissau
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Guinea-Bissau
2-1
Sierra Leone
De Lacerda (35'), Franculino (48')
Mane (73'), Martinho Silva (90+6')
Bakayoko (6')
Kakay (23'), Samura (43'), Silva (90+6')
> Preview
Jun 13, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Sierra Leone
2-2
Guinea-Bissau
Kargbo (77'), Kamara (87')
Jorginho (47', 52')
Gomes (55')
> Preview
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