

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 37%. A win for Parma had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Benevento |
| 36.55% | 26.45% | 37% |
| Both teams to score 52.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% | 52.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% | 73.8% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% | 27.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.98% | 63.02% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% | 27.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.33% | 62.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 79 |
| 2 | Lazio | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 61 |
| 3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 57 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 57 |
| 6 | Roma | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 55 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 45 |
| 9 | Bologna | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Monza | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 43 |
| 12 | Udinese | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 27 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 27 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 32 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 20 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 17 |
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