Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 3
Hellas Verona

Cabral (16'), Anderson (29'), Pedro (62')
Felipe (20'), Leiva (84')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Simeone (6'), Lasagna (14'), Hongla (76')
Hongla (3'), Veloso (23'), Ceccherini (44'), Faraoni (45+4'), Casale (54'), Lasagna (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Juventus	38	20	70
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Hellas Verona
55.21% ( 0.17)	23.09% ( 0.25)	21.7% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

-1.57)

45.96% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.73% (

-1.51)

68.27% (

1.51)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

-0.5)

16.51% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

-0.91)

46.25% (

0.91)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66% (

-1.28)

35.34% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9% (

-1.35)

72.1% (

1.35)

Score Analysis

Lazio 55.2%

Hellas Verona 21.7%

Draw 23.08%

Lazio	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.2%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.7%