Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 48.4%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Monza had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Monza |
| 48.4% ( | 26.02% ( | 25.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% ( | 54.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( | 75.65% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( | 22.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.04% ( | 55.96% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.6% ( | 36.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.81% ( | 73.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.39% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.58% |