Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Empoli |
| 44.2% ( | 25.7% ( | 30.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.59% ( | 50.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.66% ( | 72.34% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( | 22.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( | 56.41% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( | 30.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( | 67.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.1% |