Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.