Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
