World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 10, 2024 at 7pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Saudi Arabia
vs.
Japan

Abdulhamid (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kamada (14'), Ogawa (81')
Minamino (28'), Machida (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: China 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Japan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Japan vs. Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Japan
21.69% ( 1.51)	21.58% ( -0.13)	56.72% ( -1.37)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Japan
2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.63% Total : 21.69%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.58%	1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.95) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.79) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.32) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.19) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.72%