Asian Cup | Quarter-Finals
Feb 3, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Education City Stadium
We said: Iran 1-3 Japan
Given the injury concerns on the back end for Iran, the Samurai Blue could find their share of openings in the attacking third, while Iran might have difficulty scoring without the services of Taremi.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Japan had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result |
| Iran | Draw | Japan |
45.97% ( -1.8) | 26.47% ( 0.91) | 27.56% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( -2.05) |
| 45.28% ( -2.99) | 54.72% ( 2.99) |
| 23.96% ( -2.54) | 76.04% ( 2.54) |
| 76.25% ( -2.09) | 23.75% ( 2.09) |
