Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 30, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron
Fortaleza

Racing
1 - 0
Fortaleza

Martinez (90+4', 90+4')
Martinez (45+2'), Martinez (45+2'), Martirena (80'), Martirena (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Britez (24'), Britez (24'), Marinho (71'), Marinho (71'), Prior Pimenta (89'), Prior Pimenta (89'), Kuscevic (90+1'), Kuscevic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Racing Club and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 4-0 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-2 Cruzeiro
Monday, May 26 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Racing Club.

Result
Racing ClubDrawFortaleza
58.7% (0.404 0.4)22.92% (0.022000000000002 0.02)18.38% (-0.428 -0.43)
Both teams to score 49.25% (-0.824 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (-0.71 -0.71)49.63% (0.709 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (-0.639 -0.64)71.65% (0.63799999999999 0.64)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.4% (-0.11 -0.11)16.59% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-0.197 -0.2)46.4% (0.196 0.2)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (-0.908 -0.91)40.95% (0.907 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (-0.818 -0.82)77.51% (0.81699999999999 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 58.69%
    Fortaleza 18.38%
    Draw 22.91%
Racing ClubDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 10.96% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.56% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 58.69%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.194 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 18.38%

How you voted: Racing vs Fortaleza

Racing Club
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Fortaleza
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Fortaleza
0-3
Racing

Kuscevic (55')
Salas (26'), Almendra (48'), Sosa (84')
Di Cesare (37'), Salas (45+2'), Ignacio Nardoni (74')