Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 79.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for had a probability of 6.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.42%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a win it was 0-1 (2.44%).
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Moreirense | 
| 79.64% | 13.5% | 6.86% | 
| Both teams to score 44.32% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 63.69% | 36.31% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 41.55% | 58.45% | 
| Benfica Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.81% | 7.19% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.89% | 26.11% | 
| Moreirense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 47.75% | 52.25% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.83% | 86.17% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Benfica | Draw | Moreirense | 
| 2-0 @ 13.02% 3-0 @ 11.42% 1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.45% 4-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 7.42% 4-1 @ 4.88% 5-0 @ 3.96% 5-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.41% 6-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.59% 6-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.63% Total : 79.64% | 1-1 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 3.76% 2-2 @ 2.74% Other @ 0.58% Total : 13.5% | 0-1 @ 2.44% 1-2 @ 2.08% Other @ 2.34% Total : 6.86% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 
| 2 | Porto | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 
| 3 | Braga | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 25 | 
| 5 | Casa Pia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 | 
| 7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 19 | 
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 | 
| 9 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 18 | 
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 | 
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 | 
| 13 | Vizela | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 | 
| 14 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 | 
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 | 
| 16 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | 
| 17 | Maritimo | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 6 | 
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 2 | 
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