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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Arsenal logo

Spurs
2 - 3
Arsenal

Romero (64'), Heung-min (87' pen.)
Kulusevski (77'), Davies (81')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hojbjerg (15' og.), Saka (27'), Havertz (38')
Partey (83')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal survive a late Tottenham Hotspur fightback in a thrilling 3-2 North London derby win to increase their lead at the top of the Premier League table.

Team News

Thomas Partey starts for Arsenal in their Premier League North London derby with Tottenham Hotspur, who have Richarlison back on the bench.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Tottenham Hotspur could line up for Sunday's North London derby with Arsenal in the Premier League.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Tottenham Hotspur's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with North London rivals Arsenal on Sunday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Spurs
Saturday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawArsenal
35.24% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 23.47% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 41.3% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.2% (-0.334 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-0.428 -0.43)38.5% (0.424 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.21% (-0.454 -0.45)60.79% (0.45 0.45)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (-0.236 -0.24)21.93% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (-0.356 -0.36)55.21% (0.353 0.35)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.185 -0.19)19.04% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.38% (-0.305 -0.31)50.62% (0.301 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 35.24%
    Arsenal 41.3%
    Draw 23.46%
Tottenham HotspurDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.24%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 41.3%

How you voted: Spurs vs Arsenal

Tottenham Hotspur
28.5%
Draw
16.7%
Arsenal
54.9%
492
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Arsenal
2-2
Spurs
Romero (26' og.), Saka (54' pen.)
Odegaard (15'), Havertz (57'), Nketiah (67')
Heung-min (42', 55')
Udogie (15'), Sarr (45+1'), Bissouma (45+1'), Romero (75')
Jan 15, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 20
Spurs
0-2
Arsenal
Lloris (14' og.), Odegaard (36')
Oct 1, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal
3-1
Spurs
Partey (20'), Jesus (49'), Xhaka (67')
Kane (31' pen.)
May 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Spurs
3-0
Arsenal
Kane (22' pen., 37'), Heung-min (47')
Davies (17')

Holding (26'), Smith Rowe (86'), Odegaard (88'), Xhaka (90+1')
Holding (33')
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Arsenal
3-1
Spurs
Smith Rowe (12'), Aubameyang (27'), Saka (34')
Odegaard (89'), Sambi Lokonga (90+1')
Heung-min (79')
Skipp (67')
Build-up
Tottenham Hotspur's Pedro Porro celebrates scoring their first goal on January 5, 2024
Pedro Porro, Richarlison - Tottenham Hotspur injury news and return dates ahead of Arsenal clash
Sports Mole rounds up Tottenham Hotspur's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with North London rivals Arsenal on Sunday.
Apr 25, 10:35
Arsenal's Jurrien Timber comes off injured on August 12, 2023
Arsenal injury news vs. Tottenham Hotspur - Jurrien Timber return date
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash against Tottenham Hotspur.
Apr 25, 11:03
Arsenal's Leandro Trossard celebrates scoring their second goal with teammate Bukayo Saka on September 20, 2023
Combined XI: Tottenham Hotspur vs. Arsenal
Ahead of Sunday's North London derby between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal in the Premier League, Sports Mole chooses a combined XI from both squads.
Apr 26, 11:40
Tottenham Hotspur's Richarlison celebrates scoring their second goal on December 10, 2023
How Tottenham Hotspur could line up against Arsenal
Sports Mole looks at how Tottenham Hotspur could line up for Sunday's North London derby with Arsenal in the Premier League.
Apr 26, 14:46
Tottenham Hotspur manager Ange Postecoglou pictured on February 10, 2024
"Both available" - Ange Postecoglou confirms major fitness boost for Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur duo Pedro Porro and Richarlison are both available for Sunday's North London derby against Arsenal.
Apr 26, 14:59
Arsenal defender Jurrien Timber on July 19, 2023
How Arsenal could line up against Tottenham Hotspur
Sports Mole looks at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's North London derby with Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League.
Apr 26, 15:03
Arsenal's Jurrien Timber comes off injured on August 12, 2023
Mikel Arteta provides Jurrien Timber fitness update ahead of North London derby
Arsenal defender Jurrien Timber has a chance of being included in the squad for Sunday's Premier League clash with Tottenham Hotspur.
Apr 26, 15:39
Tottenham Hotspur's Son Heung-min celebrates scoring on March 29, 2024
Son Heung-min's record vs. Arsenal
Sports Mole looks at Tottenham Hotspur captain Son Heung-min's record against Arsenal in the North London derby.
Apr 26, 17:39
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka celebrates scoring their third goal on February 24, 2024
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka out to emulate Ian Wright feat in North London derby
Arsenal winger Bukayo Saka could match a 30-year-old feat last achieved by Ian Wright in Sunday's North London derby with Tottenham Hotspur.
Apr 27, 23:05
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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