Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 1-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 
| 53.15% (  1.16) | 21.51% (  -0.11) | 25.34% (  -1.05) | 
| Both teams to score 64.1% (  -0.7) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.32% (  -0.46) | 34.68% (  0.46) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.37% (  -0.51) | 56.63% (  0.52) | 
| Fulham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.74% (  0.2) | 13.26% (  -0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.94% (  0.4) | 40.05% (  -0.4) | 
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.9% (  -0.98) | 26.1% (  0.98) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.85% (  -1.34) | 61.15% (  1.34) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fulham | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 
| 2-1 @ 9.49% (  0.1) 2-0 @ 7.06% (  0.27) 1-0 @ 6.99% (  0.21) 3-1 @ 6.39% (  0.11) 3-0 @ 4.76% (  0.21) 3-2 @ 4.29% (  -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.23% (  0.08) 4-0 @ 2.4% (  0.12) 4-2 @ 2.17% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.3% (  0.04) 4-3 @ 0.97% (  -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% (  0.06) Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 9.39% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 6.37% (  -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.46% (  0.08) 3-3 @ 1.92% (  -0.08) Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 6.31% (  -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.65% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.12% (  -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.85% (  -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.83% (  -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.4% (  -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.96% (  -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.95% (  -0.08) Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.34% | 
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| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
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