

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Everton had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 28.62% | 24.11% | 47.27% |
| Both teams to score 57.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% | 44.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% | 66.64% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% | 28.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% | 18.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.67% | 50.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.03% 1-0 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.62% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 5.23% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 76 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 56 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 19 | Everton | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 29 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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