Everton

2 - 1

Crystal Palace

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.