Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Feb 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
1 - 3
Man City

Maupay (21')
Maupay (31')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Foden (45+3', 53', 70')

Premier League goalscoring record broken in Manchester City victory

A Premier League goalscoring record was broken in Manchester City's 3-1 victory over Brentford on Monday evening.

Feb 6, 00:31

Manchester City's Phil Foden celebrates with the match ball after completing a hat-trick on February 5, 2024

Pep Guardiola lauds Phil Foden's "most influential season" at Manchester City

Pep Guardiola believes Phil Foden is enjoying his "most influential season" yet at Manchester City after the playmaker scored a hat-trick in the Citizens' 3-1 win at Brentford on Monday.

Feb 6, 08:01

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Brentford
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 3-1 Burnley
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Brentford win it was 2-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Manchester City
20.67% ( -0.12)	21.61% ( -0.04)	57.72% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 57.42% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.33% (

40.67% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

63.05% (

-0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.67% (

-0.11)

33.33% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.05% (

-0.12)

69.94% (

0.12)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

0.05)

13.87% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.73% (

0.1)

41.26% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Brentford 20.67%

Manchester City 57.72%

Draw 21.6%

Brentford	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 20.67%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.6%	1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 57.72%