Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.