

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool | 
| 35.79% (  1.39) | 23.82% (  0.27) | 40.38% (  -1.66) | 
| Both teams to score 61.96% (  -0.71) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.83% (  -1.05) | 40.16% (  1.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.46% (  -1.09) | 62.53% (  1.09) | 
| Arsenal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.59% (  0.26) | 22.4% (  -0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.08% (  0.39) | 55.92% (  -0.38) | 
| Liverpool Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.85% (  -1.18) | 20.15% (  1.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.57% (  -1.92) | 52.43% (  1.92) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool | 
| 2-1 @ 8.09% (  0.22) 1-0 @ 6.75% (  0.37) 2-0 @ 5.05% (  0.31) 3-1 @ 4.04% (  0.14) 3-2 @ 3.23% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.52% (  0.18) 4-1 @ 1.51% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% (  0.07) Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.79% | 1-1 @ 10.81% (  0.21) 2-2 @ 6.48% (  -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.51% (  0.22) 3-3 @ 1.73% (  -0.07) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 8.67% (  -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.23% (  0.09) 0-2 @ 5.79% (  -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.63% (  -0.26) 2-3 @ 3.46% (  -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.09% (  -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.85% (  -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.39% (  -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.24% (  -0.13) Other @ 3.03% Total : 40.38% | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 | 
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 | 
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 | 
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 | 
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 | 
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 | 
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 | 
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 | 
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 | 
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 | 
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 | 
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 | 
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 | 
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 | 
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 | 
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 | 
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