Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage | 2nd Leg
Jun 6, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Uruguay national football team

Paraguay
2 - 0
Uruguay

Galarza (13'), Enciso (81' pen.)
Galarza (39'), Jose Caceres (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Paraguay and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Colombia 2-2 Paraguay
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina141831
2Ecuador14826
3Uruguay14721
4Brazil14421
5Paraguay14221
6Colombia14420
7Venezuela14-415
8Bolivia14-1614
9Peru14-1110
10Chile14-1210
All competitions
Last Game: Bolivia 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, March 25 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina141831
2Ecuador14826
3Uruguay14721
4Brazil14421
5Paraguay14221
6Colombia14420
7Venezuela14-415
8Bolivia14-1614
9Peru14-1110
10Chile14-1210

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.85%. A draw has a probability of 30.6% and a win for Uruguay has a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Uruguay win it is 0-1 (11.97%).

Result
ParaguayDrawUruguay
40.85% (-0.124 -0.12)30.61% (-0.07 -0.07)28.54% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 39.3% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.16% (0.247 0.25)67.84% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.17% (0.161 0.16)85.83% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.055999999999997 0.06)32.81% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.062000000000001 0.06)69.38% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (0.308 0.31)41.51% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.99% (0.268 0.27)78.01% (-0.268 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 40.84%
    Uruguay 28.54%
    Draw 30.61%
ParaguayDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 15.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 40.84%
0-0 @ 13.62% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-1 @ 13.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.27% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.61%
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 28.54%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Uruguay

Paraguay
34.6%
Draw
34.6%
Uruguay
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 12.30am
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-0
Paraguay
Valverde (37'), Bueno (79'), Nandez (84'), Suarez (85')
Gomez (20'), Cubas (34')
Jan 27, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-1
Uruguay
Suarez (50')
Jun 29, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Uruguay
1-0
Paraguay
Jun 3, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-0
Paraguay
Sep 6, 2017 1am
Group Stage
Paraguay
1-2
Uruguay
Romero (88')
Valverde (76'), Gomez (80' og.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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