Orlando City
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 25, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Spectrum Stadium
Portland Timbers

Orlando City
1 - 0
Portland

McGuire (39', 39')
Angulo (74'), Angulo (74'), Jansson (90+7'), Schlegel (90+5'), Jansson (90+7'), Schlegel (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Antony (66'), Antony (66'), Zuparic (90+3'), Zuparic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Orlando City and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 0-3 Orlando City
Monday, May 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-1 Seattle
Sunday, May 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawPortland Timbers
53.24% (-3.322 -3.32)21.83% (0.717 0.72)24.92% (2.603 2.6)
Both teams to score 62.45% (0.734 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (-0.484 -0.48)36.64% (0.482 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2% (-0.529 -0.53)58.8% (0.526 0.53)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (-1.174 -1.17)13.91% (1.171 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.66% (-2.362 -2.36)41.34% (2.36 2.36)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (1.814 1.81)27.46% (-1.818 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (2.288 2.29)62.95% (-2.292 -2.29)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 53.24%
    Portland Timbers 24.92%
    Draw 21.83%
Orlando CityDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.487 -0.49)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.365 -0.37)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.552 -0.55)
3-2 @ 4.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.327 -0.33)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.392 -0.39)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.24%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.298 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.234 0.23)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.495 0.5)
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.355 0.36)
0-2 @ 3.19% (0.376 0.38)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.337 0.34)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.228 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.222 0.22)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 24.92%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Portland

Orlando City
70.0%
Draw
30.0%
Portland Timbers
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 9pm
Portland
1-1
Orlando City
Paredes (80' pen.)
Bravo (65'), van Rankin (71'), Paredes (81'), Bodily (90+4')
van Rankin (76')
Urso (52')
Michel (90+4'), Jansson (90+5')
Aug 12, 2020 1.30am
May 31, 2020 12.30am
Jul 19, 2019 3am
Portland
1-1
Orlando City
Ebobisse (82')
Fernandez (9'), Mabiala (67'), Dielna (89')
Patino (44')
Rosell (50'), Patino (77'), Mendez (86')
Apr 8, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 7
Orlando City
3-2
Portland
Mueller (80'), Kljestan (82' pen.), Dwyer (87')
Mounir Abdussalam (28'), Dwyer (93')
Valeri (20' pen.), Tuiloma (59')
Blanco (8'), Gleeson (77')
rhs 2.0


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