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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Turkey national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Faroe Islands national football team

Turkey
4 - 0
Faroe Islands

Under (37'), Dervisoglu (47'), Dursun (82'), Demiral (85')
Soyuncu (25'), Under (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vatnhamar (32'), Hansson (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Faroe Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

Last Six:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Luxembourg vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Faroe Islands

Last Six:
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Faroe Islands vs. Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Turkey 3-0 Faroe Islands

 On paper, this looks to be a routine victory for Turkey against the minnows from the Faroe Islands. The hosts may have endured a disappointing last 12 months, but they should possess a far superior quality on the day in Istanbul and should cruise to a comfortable victory by a relatively wide margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.47%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawFaroe Islands
58.26% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 26.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 15.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 35.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.54% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)65.46% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.79% (-0.029 -0.03)84.21% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.7%
Faroe Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.6% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)54.4% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.48% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)87.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 58.25%
    Faroe Islands 15.31%
    Draw 26.42%
TurkeyDrawFaroe Islands
1-0 @ 18.37% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 58.25%
0-0 @ 12.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 15.31%

How you voted: Turkey vs Faroe Islands

Turkey
82.2%
Draw
8.2%
Faroe Islands
9.6%
73
rhs 2.0
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