

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southend United win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Gateshead has a probability of 26.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Gateshead win is 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.04%).
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 49.77% | 23.64% | 26.6% | 
| Both teams to score 57.77% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.42% | 43.58% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.03% | 65.97% | 
| Southend United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.38% | 17.62% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.79% | 48.21% | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.12% | 29.88% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.03% | 65.97% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Southend United | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 2-1 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-1 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.16% Total : 26.6% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 | 
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 | 
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 | 
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 | 
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 | 
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 | 
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 | 
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 | 
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 | 
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 | 
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