
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Solihull Moors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 36.78% ( | 24.44% ( | 38.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( | 43.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( | 65.41% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( | 23.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.94% ( | 57.06% ( |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( | 22.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.46% ( | 55.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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