

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 50.23% ( | 22.18% ( | 27.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.05% ( | 35.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.96% ( | 58.04% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( | 14.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.23% ( | 42.77% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( | 25.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.06% ( | 59.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 4-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.23% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 |
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 15 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 43 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 |
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 37 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 36 |
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 |
| 22 | Fylde | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 34 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 |
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