Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a DC United win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
22.04% | 24.36% | 53.6% |
Both teams to score 50.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.14% | 50.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.26% | 72.74% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.24% | 37.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.47% | 74.53% |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% | 18.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.6% | 50.4% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 6.95% 2-1 @ 5.64% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.05% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 0-2 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 5.36% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-4 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 36 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
5 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Toronto | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 18 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 36 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
5 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Toronto | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 18 |