Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
52.49% | 23.43% | 24.08% |
Both teams to score 55.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.11% | 44.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.75% | 67.25% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% | 17.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.71% | 47.29% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% | 32.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% | 69.14% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.75% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.92% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 57 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 49 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 35 |
10 | Toronto | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 25 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 57 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 49 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 35 |
10 | Toronto | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 25 |