Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 2
Monaco

Frankowski (30'), Ganago (90+5')
Danso (32'), Gradit (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Badiashile (34'), Ben Yedder (62')
Volland (84'), Tchouameni (86'), Henrique (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Monaco
41.5% ( 1.51)	25.45% ( -0.12)	33.05% ( -1.39)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.73% (

0.21)

48.27% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.58% (

0.19)

70.42% (

-0.19)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89% (

0.85)

23.11% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.04% (

1.23)

56.96% (

-1.23)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-0.75)

27.8% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

-0.98)

63.39% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Lens 41.5%

Monaco 33.05%

Draw 25.44%

Lens	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.5%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.05%