Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Metz |
| 56.2% | 24.2% | 19.6% |
| Both teams to score 47.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% | 53.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% | 18.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.9% | 50.1% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.46% | 41.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.97% | 78.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.2% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | MonacoMonaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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