Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw has a probability of 17.9% and a win for Newcastle United has a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8%), while for a Newcastle United win it is 1-2 (4.26%).
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 66.84% ( | 17.95% ( | 15.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.27% ( | 32.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.59% ( | 54.41% ( |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.92% ( | 9.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.14% ( | 30.85% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( | 34.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.85% ( | 71.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 4-1 @ 4.6% ( 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 5-1 @ 2.21% ( 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 5-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 4.96% Total : 66.84% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.95% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0-1 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-2 @ 1.78% ( 1-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 15.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 55 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 41 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 35 |
| 9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 25 |
| 14 | Leicester CityLeicester | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 24 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 22 |
| 18 | Everton | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 21 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 21 |
| 20 | Southampton | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 18 |
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