Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chelsea has a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Chelsea win it is 1-0 (5.91%).