

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Colchester United | 
| 53.76% (  0.55) | 22.22% (  -0.02) | 24.02% (  -0.53) | 
| Both teams to score 59.99% (  -0.57) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.58% (  -0.47) | 39.42% (  0.47) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.24% (  -0.49) | 61.76% (  0.49) | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.3% (  0.02) | 14.7% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.11% (  0.04) | 42.89% (  -0.03) | 
| Colchester United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.33% (  -0.68) | 29.67% (  0.68) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.28% (  -0.83) | 65.72% (  0.84) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Chesterfield | Draw | Colchester United | 
| 2-1 @ 9.74% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 8.36% (  0.19) 2-0 @ 8.02% (  0.18) 3-1 @ 6.23% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 5.12% (  0.12) 3-2 @ 3.78% (  -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.98% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 2.46% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 1.81% (  -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.14% (  0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% (  0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 10.16% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 5.92% (  -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.36% (  0.09) 3-3 @ 1.53% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.17% (  -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.3% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 3.22% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.5% (  -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.4% (  -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.3% (  -0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 24.02% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
