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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
30.28% | 25.64% | 44.08% |
Both teams to score 53.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.91% | 50.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.94% | 72.06% |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% | 30.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% | 66.78% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% | 22.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.71% | 56.29% |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.28% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 43 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 41 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 40 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 31 |
6 | Barnsley | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
7 | Portsmouth | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 29 |
8 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 29 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Port Vale | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 25 |
12 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 25 |
13 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 24 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 20 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 20 |
21 | MK Dons | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 14 |
22 | Burton Albion | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 14 |
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