Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
