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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
18.21% (![]() | 23.27% (![]() | 58.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% (![]() | 51.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% (![]() | 73.08% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.91% (![]() | 42.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.49% (![]() | 78.51% (![]() |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.77% (![]() | 17.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.47% (![]() | 47.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 6.28% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 11.03% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 12.75% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.21% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.7% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |