

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 64.52% ( | 19.54% ( | 15.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.02% ( | 38.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.7% ( | 61.3% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.6% ( | 11.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.86% ( | 36.14% ( |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( | 37.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.72% ( | 74.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 4-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 5-1 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 4.15% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
