

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 26.06% | 26.22% | 47.72% |
| Both teams to score 49.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.31% | 54.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.99% | 76.02% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% | 36.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.98% | 73.02% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% | 22.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 4.28% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.57% 3-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.06% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 12.23% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 9.01% 1-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 11 | 44 | 76 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 65 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 63 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 55 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 44 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 43 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 |
| 11 | Mallorca | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 38 |
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 35 |
| 15 | Almeria | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 33 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 | Getafe | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Valencia | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 30 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 31 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 62 | -42 | 13 |
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