

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
| 41.66% | 26.62% | 31.72% |
| Both teams to score 51.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% | 53.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% | 75.05% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% | 25.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.83% | 60.17% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% | 31.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.34% | 67.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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