

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves | 
| 49.59% | 28.21% | 22.2% | 
| Both teams to score 40.45% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 35.94% | 64.06% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 16.78% | 83.22% | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.8% | 26.2% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.7% | 61.3% | 
| Alaves Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 54.81% | 45.19% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.92% | 81.08% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves | 
| 1-0 @ 15.85% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.77% 4-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.83% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 11.84% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.2% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GironaGirona | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 49 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 48 | 
| 3 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 41 | 
| 4 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 41 | 
| 5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 38 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 32 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 31 | 
| 8 | Valencia | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 | 
| 9 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 28 | 
| 10 | Getafe | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 | 
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 23 | 
| 12 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 22 | 
| 13 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 | 
| 14 | Mallorca | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 | 
| 15 | Villarreal | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 19 | 
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 | 
| 17 | Sevilla | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 16 | 
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 15 | 
| 19 | Granada | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 11 | 
| 20 | Almeria | 20 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 6 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
