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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Alaves
Garcia (44')
Vencedor (38'), Berenguer (40'), Garcia (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Navarro (8'), Pina (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
49.59%28.21%22.2%
Both teams to score 40.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.94%64.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.78%83.22%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8%26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7%61.3%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92%81.08%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 49.58%
    Alaves 22.2%
    Draw 28.2%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 15.85%
2-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.44%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.77%
4-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 49.58%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 11.84%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 5%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves

Athletic Bilbao
80.8%
Draw
14.4%
Alaves
4.8%
125
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Alaves
Vesga (2'), Capa (90+1')
Lejeune (46'), Garcia (90+2')
Oct 4, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 5
Alaves
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ely (74')
Duarte (85')
Duarte (86')

Garcia (19'), Nunez (62'), Martinez (64')
Feb 23, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 25
Alaves
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (28' pen.), Ely (90')
Navarro (31'), Aguirregabiria (33'), Ely (52'), Pons (86')
Garcia (17')
Capa (20'), Nunez (26'), Garcia (31'), Martinez (31')
Sep 22, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Alaves
Garcia (38' pen.), Muniain (72')
Simon (86')

Ely (7'), Vidal (15'), Duarte (37'), Laguardia (70')
Apr 27, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Alaves
Etxebarria (41')
Garcia (34'), San Jose (45')
Baston (45')
Laguardia (32'), Vigaray (44')
[nma]
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GironaGirona20154146242249
2Real Madrid19153140112948
3Athletic Bilbao20125338201841
4Barcelona19125236221441
5Atletico MadridAtletico19122539231638
6Real Sociedad2088431211032
7Real BetisBetis2071032220231
8Valencia208572624229
9Las PalmasLas Palmas208481917228
10Getafe196852425-126
11Rayo Vallecano195861824-623
12Osasuna196492229-722
13AlavesAlaves2055101827-920
14Mallorca2031071824-619
15Villarreal2054112741-1419
16Celta Vigo203892130-917
17Sevilla2037102530-516
18CadizCadiz202991530-1515
19Granada2025132241-1911
20Almeria2006141943-246

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