

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao | 
| 23.61% | 28.11% | 48.28% | 
| Both teams to score 42.03% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 37.23% | 62.77% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 17.7% | 82.3% | 
| Alaves Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.98% | 43.01% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.7% | 79.3% | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.75% | 26.24% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.65% | 61.35% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao | 
| 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.13% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.04% Total : 23.61% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 15.1% 0-2 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-3 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.51% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.88% Total : 48.28% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GironaGirona | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 49 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 48 | 
| 3 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 41 | 
| 4 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 41 | 
| 5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 38 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 32 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 31 | 
| 8 | Valencia | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 | 
| 9 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 28 | 
| 10 | Getafe | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 | 
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 23 | 
| 12 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 22 | 
| 13 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 | 
| 14 | Mallorca | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 | 
| 15 | Villarreal | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 19 | 
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 | 
| 17 | Sevilla | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 16 | 
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 15 | 
| 19 | Granada | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 11 | 
| 20 | Almeria | 20 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 6 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
