Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 7.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (17.31%) and 0-3 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.02%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
