CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 21, 2025 at 12.45am UK

Independence Park

Jamaica
2 - 1
Guadeloupe

(Guadeloupe win 5-3 on aggregate)

Bailey (41'), Russell (45+4')
Russell (43'), Brown (47'), Anderson (54'), Bailey (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ambrose (32')
Ambrose (11'), Phaeton (60'), Plumain (90+3'), (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Jamaica and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

Last Game: Jamaica 2-2 Nigeria
Saturday, May 31 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: British Virgin I. vs. Jamaica
Saturday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	3	5	9
2	Ecuador	3	1	4
3	Mexico	3	0	4
4	Jamaica	3	-6	0

Guadeloupe

All competitions

Last Game: Martinique 0-0 Guadeloupe
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Panama vs. Guadeloupe
Tuesday, June 17 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jamaica win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Guadeloupe has a probability of 36.41% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win is 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.49%).

Result
Jamaica	Draw	Guadeloupe
37.3%	26.28%	36.41%

Both teams to score 53.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.61%

51.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.79%

73.2%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25%

26.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.97%

62.02%

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73%

27.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3%

62.69%

Score Analysis

Jamaica 37.3%

Guadeloupe 36.41%

Draw 26.27%

Jamaica	Draw	Guadeloupe
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.3%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3% Total : 36.41%