Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.